3d基本走势图(专业版)

美国这100年来一共发生了多少次金融危机

我曾经画过一张图,来说明主干经济是怎么发展的。其实世界上的经济发展都是熟悉的配方熟悉的套路,美国、中国、日本这世界TOP3都不能免俗。大家在以下读我文章时,你们反复细品我这张图。

dengwoyoushijiandehua,wozaijidajiajiangjiangzhongguogushi30nianlaideqiqifufu,weishazhangweishadie,qishidouyoutaoluguilv,zheishizhongguogushidebenzhi,woyibanbugaosubieren。

一、2008年:房产次贷危机

zheicishiyoumeiguodichanjingjiladong,zaochengfangdaijinrongweiji,jineryingxiangdaomeiguozhenggejinrongshichang。

telangpushi2017nian1yue20rixuanshijiuzhide。yejiushishuo,meiguojinrongweijizheishinian,jibenshihuozaiaobamadezhengfuzhilixiade。

telangpuyongguojijiashui、guoneijianshuidebanfa,rangzijinhuiliumeiguo,yeqiturangzhizaoyehuiliumeiguo(buyidingzuodao)。biaoxianchulaideshi:jiuyelvzengjia、gdpzengzhanglvzengjia、jinrongshichangshizhizengjia、wujiapingwen/tonghuopengzhangpingwen。

3d基本走势图(专业版)aobamashizenmejiejuejinrongweijide?

suiran2008-2018zheishinian,shishijiegaokejibaofadeshinian,zhinengshouji、4gtongxin、yunjisuan、dashuju、rengongzhineng,yerangapple、amazon、salesforceshizhizhangshangtian,danshizheibingweibameiguolachujinrongweiji。

3d基本走势图(专业版)eraobamashiyongdeshouduanzeshi:zhanzhengladongjingji。jiezhudaladengfankongzhiming,gaoafuhan、yilang、yilake、xuliya...。zheiyejianjiedaozhile2010niandifashengdealabozhichun,xianzaihuitoulaikanjianzhishialabozhawo,nanminsichutaosanzhiouzhou,baoumengyoujinyibutuojinshenyuan,zheiyejianjiedaozhileoumengjietidediyibu,yingguoyu2016niangongtoutuoou。

二、2000年3月-2003年:第一次互联网泡沫破灭+911恐怖袭击

3d基本走势图(专业版)2001-2009nianshixiaobushenderenqi。xiaobushenshangrendiyinianjiuyushangle911zheiyangdeshi。

xiaobushenrenqineimeishenmejianshu,quebakelindunhaoburongyizanxiademeiguocaizhengyingyuquanbuhuaguanghaiqianleyipiguzhai。suiranzaitarenqinei,meiguojueqilegoogle、facebook、twitterzheiyangdechunhulianwanggongsi,danrengranduiladongmeiguojingjimeishazhuganzuoyongli。suoyixiaobushengaodeladongjingji,jiushifangdichan(haoshuxidepeifangshuxidetaolua)。zheiyeyinfale2008niandefangchancidaiweiji。

3d基本走势图(专业版)neixiaobushenbaqiandouhuaqunalile?dangranshizhumingdeyilakezhanzheng,2003niansadamubeimeijunfulu。xiaobushenxiangtongguozhanzhengzheigetaoluladongjingji。

三、1989-1993:无水可放只能打仗

1989nianzhi1993nianzhenghaoshilaobushenzhuzhengdesuiyue。jinglileligenzhengfudehuobidafangshui,daolelaobushenzheishouyijingbunengzaishiyongzheizhaole。yinweisulianhaimeijietilengzhanhaimeijieshu、hulianwangyemeixingqi,zhenzhengquanqiuhuahaiweilailin,meiguoruguojixuchaofahuobi,zhinengyansiziji,erbunengkaizhayansiquanqiu。

anshuolaobushengandeshijianhenhaoa:pcgaokejigongyedabaofa。huashuotaiwanjingjideladongjiushiganshangrimeimaoyizhanduikang、meiguoduiyataishilizaipingheng,yijipcquanqiuchanyeliandaigongfengongzheigehongli。

3d基本走势图(专业版)1991nian12yue11ri,sulianjieti。dangran,zai1991nianjietizhiqian,zai1989nianyijingbaofaledongoujubian,zuixianzaibolanrenmingongheguochuxian,houlaikuozhandaodeyizhiminzhugongheguo、jiekesiluofake、xiongyalirenmingongheguo、baojialiyarenmingongheguo、luomaniyashehuizhuyigongheguodenghuashatiaoyuezuzhiguojia。

danlaobushenganleshenmeshiladongjingjini?zhenshibushenfuziliangrentongyangdetaolu:fadonghaiwanzhanzheng,dayilake。yilakebeifuzilianggerenandishanglaihuimoca,yeshigoudaomeide。

四、1973年12月-1982年11月:金融危机+石油危机

3d基本走势图(专业版)1981,ligenshangtai,shideyizhaojiushi:huobifangshuilianghuakuansong。

ligenweishanengshichuzheizhaoni?zheihaidecong1971nianshuoqi。

3d基本走势图(专业版)1971nian,nikesongxuanbumeiyuanyuhuangjintuogou,meiyuandeyinzhichaofa,buzaishouhuangjindechuliangxianzhi。yushi,meiguojinrongshichangbeiquanqiubukanhao,meiguozai1973niangushidadie,jinrujinrongweiji。

3d基本走势图(专业版)1974nian,alaboguojiabaofaledisicizhongdongzhanzheng(aijilianshouxuliyagaoyiselie)。zheigengyinfalemeiguodeshiyouweijikonghuang,gengzhongcuolemeiguogushi,yaozhidaomeiguodehangmu、feiji、qichekedoushiyaoyongshiyoucainengpaoqilaide。suoyishirenmeiguoguowuqingjixingebenfuzhongdong,yushatedijiemengyue,meiguobangzhushatedangalabolaoda,danshishatexuyaodanglelaodahoubaxiaoditonglingqilaihou,xuyaoshiyouyongmeiyuanqiangzhijiesuan。

jixingeshigefeichanglihaidetanpanshou,zai1969niandao1977nianzhijianzaimeiguozhengfurenzhi,zheiduanduan8nianlijixingegaochenglesanjianshi:

1、qinfuzhongguo,tuidonglezhongmeijianjiao

2、qinfuyuenandezongzhuguofaguo,zaibalidaibiaomeiguoyuyuenantanpan,bameiguolaxiashenyuandeyuenanzhanzhengzhongyujieshu

3d基本走势图(专业版)3、qinfuzhongdong,rangshijiedazongnengyuan:shiyou,qiangzhiyongmeiyuanjiesuan。zheishimeiyuanguojihuafeichangfeichangzhongyaodeyibu。meiyouzheiyibu,yihoudemeiyuanchaofa,zhinengbameiguozijiyansi。xianzaimeiyuankeyirenyichaofa,rangquanshijiezheigedachizilaimaidan

shenrena。

五、1969年10月开始至1972年3月:滞涨需要整合

1965nian,boshidunguanlizixungongsizhengshichengli,duliyunying。zhanlveguanli,yeshizaiboshidunzixungongsideyinlingxiacailiuxingqilaide。qishi,qiyeguanli,yeshizaimeiguo60niandaimocaizaimeiguodaliuxingde。zheishiweiheni?

weishazhanlveguanlihuizaineiduanshijianbaofa?jiushiyinweimeiguojingjikaishijinruzhizhang,danshiqiyexuyaoniannianyejizengzhanga。zenmeban?zhihaocaiquduoyuanhuayewujingying、duoyuanhuatouzibinggou。

danshi,bushaojituangaolaigaoqudoumeijianxiao,haibajingyingguanligaodetebiefuza。yushijiuxiangtongguoqingxidezhanlvetixi、zhanlvezhuxianlainingheqixiaduoyuanyewu。

erduoyuanhuadedaibiaogongsishisheini?zaixinxishehui,zuigaojidejiejingjiushizhinengshouji,jiejingdehexinjiushicpuxinpian。erzaigongyeshehui,zuigaojidejiejingjiushiqiche,jiejingdehexinjiushifadongji。dangranzaiweilai,daisigelunzinengyidongdedahaozhinengshouji,jiushizhinengqiche,zheishigongyeshehuihexinxishehuizajiaodezuigaochanwu。neime,zaimeiguo60niandai,qichedangranshidanghongzhaziji。ermeiguoqichegongyededaibiaojiushiliangdajituan:futeqiche、tongyongqiche。

3d基本走势图(专业版)tongyongqiche,zuichuchenglijiushichuangshirenbinggouleyiduiqichegongsihebingercheng,silongyeshineishihoubeibinggoujinlaide。houlaisilongzuoweizhiyejinglirenzhizhangletongyongqiche,famingleshiyebuzhi,zheishixiandaiqiyeguanlidezhongyaodezuzhibiangechuangxin。suoyisilongyangyangdeyihaiyaoqingguanlijichengdashidelukedaotongyongqichelaizuoshenduyanjiu,houlaidelukexiechule《gongsidebenzhi》。

erfuteqichezaiguanlifangmian,zai60niandaiyeshimingshengdazao。jiushiyinweixiaofutejichenglezufudegongsi,danshitaweixinshangqian,doubuguoneibanggenzhelaofuteyiqichuangyedatianxiadeliumanglaochen(laofutehaimeisini)。yushi,xiaofutejiuxianggaoyipinianfuliqiangdexinrenlaizhongxingouzaofute。zheijiushizaierzhanjunzhonggaoziyuanchouhuahezuzhidelanxueshijie,beixiaofutezhaojinfuteqiche,bafuteqichetuixiangxindegaofeng。erfuteqichezuiniude,jiushilaofutefamingdeliushuixianyitiaolongzhizao。laofuteweilerangzheigeliushuixiannenggouxiaolizuidahua,suoyifutejituanbuxiangtongyongqicheneiyanggaoqichepinpaiduoyuanhua,ershigaozongxiangyitihua,suoyiweiraofuteshengchangongchang,shangxiayoudebolichang、xiangjiaochang、gangtiechangdouzaizhoubian。

3d基本走势图(专业版)tongyongqichehefuteqichezaimeiguogongyeshehuidoushiduoyuanhuachenggongdeshuangxiongdianfan。suoyizai60niandai,meiguojingjizhizhang,danshiqiyeguanlihezhanlveguanliquekaishixingshengdeyuanyin。

六、从1960年2月至1961年2月:还是战争拉动

3d基本走势图(专业版)zheiduanshijiandejinrongweijihenduan,cong1961niandao1969nian,shouyuenanzhanzhengjunxupinladong,meiguojingjichixufanrongle106geyue,gdpzengzhanglvzuigaoda6%。

七、1954年的短暂低迷:房子和汽车来救市

dajiadoutingguomeiguoyouyingerchaozheiyigeshuofa:cong1946nianzhi1964nian,zhei18nianjianyingerchaorenkougaoda7600wanren,zheigerenqunbeitongchengwei“yingerchaoyidai”。biergaicishi1955nianchusheng,tajiushidianxingdeyingerchaoyidai。neiweishahuiyouyingerchaoni?

1953nian7yue,chaoxianzhanzhengtinghuojieshu。xiaohaopinbuxuyaozheimeduole,yinermeiguojingjizanshidimile9geyue。danshizhanhou,daliangheermenggaozhangdenanxingjunrentuiwufanxiang,yenaledabituiwufei,tamenkaishijiehun、shenghaizi,tamenxuyaogengdadefangzi,genghuangengdadequanjiayongdeqiche,yinerbaofalemeiguodichanheqichere,zheiladonglemeiguojingji。

3d基本走势图(专业版)heiheihei,dichanheqichezheilianggejingjishuangyinqing,yeshizhongguohuangjinshinian(2005-2015)deshuangyinqinga。quanshijierenmindouyiyang,shuxidetaolushuxidepeifang。

八、1929年10月至1933年:二战导火索

3d基本走势图(专业版)zheishimeiguozhenzhengde、yeshizuidadeyicijinrongweiji,jiulianyinxingdoufashenglejiduifengchao,daliangmeiguorenshiye。dajiakeyikanyitaoshujiao《guangrongyumengxiang》,yikaipianjiushijiangzheigeshi,feichangcanfeichangcan。dajiakanguo2006niande《jingang》dianyingba,neijiushizheigeshidaibeijing,piaoliangnvzhujiaodoumeiyougongzuo,yaoqutiaotuoyiwu,edeyaotoupingguochi。dajiadoujuewangle,xiwangnengchuxianyigeshenmedalishenhuozheqiji,yaomezhengjiushijieyaomedatazheigeshijiezhongjian,zheijiushijingangdianyingdebeijing。

3d基本走势图(专业版)houlaizheigeweijibeixinshangrendeluosifushiyongguojiaqiangquanjizhizhile。luosifupotianhuangdilianrenlesijie。ruguobushitabingsizairenqinei,meiguohaibudihuizenyang。buxiangyingguoren,erzhanyijieshujiubalaokugonggaodeqiujierjixuanxiaqule。zhenshiyingle《tongwangnuyizhilu》yishuzhongshuode:yichangdazainan(zhanzheng/ziranzaihai/wenyi),jiukeyichuxianyigeliwankuanglandeyingxiong,jiukenenghuihuidaonuyizhilu。suoyibiekanmeiguonquanfenli,heiheihei,weijimianqian,weileshengcun,wenmingshibucunzaide。

3d基本走势图(专业版)danshizhenzhengbameiguocongzheigeshenyuanzhonglachulai,haideshuoshierzhan。erzhanzai1936nianouzhoubaofa,daochuxuyaojunhuo、zhanlvewuzi。meiguozheigehepingdedahoufangjiujiajinshengchan,zhuanzuleqian。

3d基本走势图(专业版)erqieerzhandadaohouqi,liangbaijushang。xinjueqidegongyeguojiadeguo、sulianyemeichidaohaoguozi,laopaigongyeguojiayingguo、faguozheilianggezhongduodezhimindiribuluodiguo,yebeidadeyanyanyixi。meiguoxuyaoyuwengdeli。yushi,luoshengmende“zhenzhugang”,meiguozhengshicanzhan,tongguozhanzheng,shoulongleyiduizhimindixiaodi。danmeiguozheigeguojia,yuanbenjiushiyingguodezhimindi,shimeiguorenminfanjiyingguode“wuquanlibunashui”,caijinxingledulizhanzheng。suoyi,meiguozaizhanhou,bingmeiyoubazheixiezhimindixiaodijiepanguolaijixuwan,ershishejile:lianheguozhengzhizuzhi、wtomaoyizuzhi、shijieyinxingjingjizuzhi、yilanzihuobideguojihuobizuzhi、quanqiujunshifangyulianmengjunshizuzhi,zheicaimeiguotonglinglequanqiu。

3d基本走势图(专业版)zheijiushimeiguodelihaizhichu。yingguoshijianlileribuluodiguodequanqiuzhilitixi,suanshiguojiaquanqiuhuade1.0banben。ermeiguodezheigequanqiuhuazhilitixicaishizhenzhengdegaowei,suanshiguojiaquanqiuhuade2.0banben。zhongguohuizaiweilaishinianzouxiangdongbanqiuguojiaquanqiuhua,bixuchuangxinshejizheigeguojiaquanqiuhua2.5banben。ruguobuchuangjianzheigebanben,zhongguobukenengjiukaojingjimaoyizengzhangertonglingdongbanqiude。meiyousuisuibianbiandehepingjueqi。

九、1920-1921:一战结束

3d基本走势图(专业版)1914nian-1918nian,yizhan。meiguorengranchilezhanzhenghongli,zhuandepenmanboman。suoyimeiguolaoxiangchizhanzhenghongli,jingjiyibuhao,jiuyongzhanzhenglaijiejue。yourenshuo,zhengzhijiushijingjideyanxu,zhanzhengjiushijingjideyanxu。

yizhanjieshuhou,zheigewaixujiujianruole,meiguobentudangshiyeshineixubuzua。neishishenmebameiguojingjilachuweijini?

heiheihei,dangranjiushiqiche。1921nian,futebatxingchejiagejiangdao250meijin,meiguojiatingkaishijinruqichepujishidai。

3d基本走势图(专业版)buguo,txingchezhongjieyu1927nian。weisha?bujinyinweimeiguojiatingqichedoupujile,erqiehaiyouyigeyingxiangyinsu,deguojingguoyizhanzhanbaixiuzhenghou,deguogongyezaicijueqi,gongyeshehuidedaibiaojiushiqichegongye(dajiakeyikanyixiadeguoshijie500qiangheribenshijie500qiangdegongsiyouduoshaoshiweiraozheqichegongyeshangxiayoude)。deguoqicheyekaishiweixiezhemeiguoqichegongye,zheixiameiguoyouqueshaojingjizengzhangxindonglile。yushi,yejianjieyinfale1929niandezhongdajingjiweiji。

3d基本走势图(专业版)ai,renleishehuizhenwuqu,bushizhanzheng,jiushihuobifangshui,zuoshoumeiyuanshijiezhuquanhuobiyoushoujunshizhanzheng,meiguoyizhizaizheigeeryuanxunhuanzengzhangmoshizhongchubulai,jiulianfangziheqichezheilianggeshuangyinqingjiujiejiubule。zaimeiyouzaishideniudunheaiyinsitanjichukexuetuporenleikejijinbubeifengyindekunjingxia,shijiejingjifazhandeyouxiguize,queshixuyaogaigaile。

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